Early NFL lines often shift a full point or more—like a spread moving from -3...

https://riverfbdw130.tearosediner.net/what-does-it-mean-when-the-market-already-bought-the-improvement

Early NFL lines often shift a full point or more—like a spread moving from -3 to -4.5—showing how initial odds can mislead. Jumping on those early numbers means paying up too much